XRP is struggling to achieve a short-term recovery, but the overall trend remains cautious. Despite recent rebounds boosting momentum, the price is still below key trend resistance levels. In other words, sellers are no longer in complete control of the market in the very short term, but buyers do not yet have enough strength to declare a true trend reversal.
XRP/USDT Analysis: Daily Chart
On the XRP/USDT daily chart, the asset has recovered to the mid-to-low $1.40s after holding the $1.10 to $1.20 demand zone earlier this month. This rebound is significant as it has pulled XRP away from its lows and lifted the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into a healthier range. However, the price remains trapped within a descending structure and below the first major supply zone of $1.75 to $1.80.
This puts XRP in a precarious position. The current move looks positive, but it still resembles a relief rally within a larger downtrend rather than a clear breakout. If buyers can reclaim the $1.75 to $1.80 area, it would open the door to the stronger resistance zone of $2.40 to $2.50. However, the price would need to break through the 100-day and 200-day moving averages to reach this area. Until then, this rebound is not decisive.
XRP/BTC 4-Hour Chart
The XRP/BTC trading pair shows a similar situation. After holding the 2,000 satoshi range multiple times, XRP has begun a modest recovery and has now risen back above this support zone. Momentum has improved, and while still below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, the pair looks less vulnerable than it did during the recent decline.
For the BTC pair, the primary task is to convert this bounce into sustained upside. A break above the 2,100 to 2,200 satoshi range would be a good start and could trigger a move towards the key moving averages. However, the real test lies in the higher 2,400 to 2,500 satoshi range, where layered resistance converges with the broader downtrend line. If XRP is rejected before then, the market could revert to its previous range-bound, slightly bearish conditions. However, a successful breakout would shift market sentiment from simple stabilization to a genuine recovery.
