Bitcoin Dips Below $70,000: Intensified Short-Term Selling Pressure Hints at Potential Panic Sell-Off?

Bitcoin's fall below $70,000, coupled with concentrated selling by short-term holders and a death cross formation, has led to cautious market sentiment. Whale assets moving to exchanges and a potential breach of support could lead to a $65,000 test, as investors await Fed policy guidance.

After consistently holding above $70,000 for three consecutive days, Bitcoin (BTC) price retreated to $68,131, marking a 3.96% decrease in the past 24 hours. This pullback has sparked concerns about escalating short-term selling pressure. Data from blockchain analytics platform CryptoQuant reveals a significant withdrawal behavior among short-term holders (STH) holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days. In the last 24 hours, over 27,000 BTC were transferred to exchanges by STHs, reaching a multi-month high, reflecting some investors choosing to exit driven by profit-taking. Meanwhile, technical indicators are also sending negative signals. On March 3rd, Bitcoin's 50-day simple moving average crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a so-called "death cross." This technical pattern has historically been regarded as a sign of a shift towards bearish market sentiment. Reviewing the three previous death crosses in 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin experienced an average deep correction of 46% to 52%.

Bitcoin Dips Below $70,000: Intensified Short-Term Selling Pressure Hints at Potential Panic Sell-Off?插图
Notably, CryptoQuant's monitored "Exchange Whale Ratio" (EWR) has risen to 0.54, indicating that large holders are gradually transferring assets to trading platforms, potentially setting the stage for subsequent selling pressure. If the price fails to hold the key support level of $67,757, Bitcoin may face the risk of further decline to $65,000. Conversely, if it can stabilize in the $68,000 to $70,000 range, the market may enter a consolidation phase. Investors are also focusing on the latest monetary policy statement released by the U.S. Federal Reserve System on March 18th, whose guiding role for liquidity and market sentiment cannot be ignored.

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