This mobile social trading application allows users to watch creators analyze real-world events and make prediction market trades with a single tap, transforming each live stream into a trading platform.
Earlier this year, the monthly trading volume in prediction markets surpassed $20 billion. Polymarket alone processed over $450 million in trades on the 2026 World Cup market. However, the user experience remains stuck in the traditional trading terminal model: charts, order books, and interfaces designed for those who already know what they want to trade. The opportunity to discover new prospects is almost non-existent.
Billion is designed specifically to address this gap.
How It Works
Upon opening the app, users will see two main components: the live stream and content cards.
Embedded Trading with Real-Time Live Broadcasts
Creators broadcast their predictions and analyses live, explaining why they believe Argentina will defeat France or why a specific geopolitical outcome is undervalued. Viewers can watch and discuss, and when they are confident in a viewpoint, they can simply tap to trade on Polymarket. Trades are completed without leaving the live stream.
One-Tap Trading Content Cards
The app's dynamic information feed showcases brief prediction cards that include creators' views on a market, their positions, confidence levels, and verified profit and loss records. Each card features a direct link to the Polymarket order book with a trading button. This is a social information stream where every post is actionable.
The entire experience is mobile-native. While Polymarket's web interface is available, it is not optimized for mobile users who discover markets through content rather than search. Billion encapsulates Polymarket's liquidity in an interface suited for this behavior: scroll, watch, trade.
Verified Performance Records, Not Just Claims
The core issue with current trading content is that anyone can claim to be an expert. Billion makes predictive skills verifiable.
Each creator's profit and loss, win rates, and return on investment for settled predictions are publicly tracked and displayed. Users do not have to rely solely on creators' claims; they can view evidence before deciding to follow a trade.
On the other hand, creators can earn real income from their accuracy. Billion shares up to 60% of the trading fees generated by their content with creators. The more accurate the predictions, the more attention they receive, leading to higher trading volumes and greater earnings.
This is a skill-compounding model where creators no longer need to rely on sponsored posts or paid Discord groups to monetize their expertise.
Why Prediction Markets Need a Social Layer
The prediction market industry faces both supply and demand challenges.
On the supply side, Polymarket and other platforms have established deep liquidity and reliable settlement mechanisms, with infrastructure functioning well.
On the demand side, most people are still unaware of the existence of prediction markets, and those who do often find the experience daunting. The lack of discovery mechanisms and social proof reduces users' willingness to participate.