Geopolitical Tensions Escalate: Experts Warn of 35% US Stock Market Crash, Intensifying Impact on Crypto

As the situation between the United States and Iran continues to escalate, multiple market analysts are issuing warnings about a significant downside risk for global stock markets. Some experts predict that if the conflict worsens, US stocks could experience a correction of up to 35% this year, a significant increase from the previous estimate of 20%. At the same time, the probability of a market rebound driven by investor sentiment has been lowered to 5%, reflecting how fundamental support is being gradually eroded by geopolitical risks.

Against this backdrop, international oil prices have broken through the $100 per barrel mark. The market widely anticipates that the Middle East conflict may be prolonged, further driving up energy costs and transmitting to the technology and crypto asset sectors, exacerbating market volatility. On March 9th, Iran announced that Mojtaba Khamenei would succeed the Supreme Leader, signaling the intention to continue the regime. This comes more than nine days after the joint US-Israeli military operation, and regional tensions show no signs of easing.

As a result, some cryptocurrency-related companies are adjusting their strategies. For example, Bitcoin mining company Core Scientific has sold some of its Bitcoin holdings to focus on artificial intelligence, and its stock price (CORZ) has fallen sharply. Market risk appetite for crypto assets is contracting as geopolitical uncertainty rises. Recent Focus: Ethena (ENA) price is oscillating between $0.095 and $0.119, and the market is waiting for a breakout direction. Short-term traders are closely watching its momentum changes.