As of the time of writing, the price of XRP is around $1.35, down over 63% from its previous multi-year high of $3.66, resulting in holders facing more than $50 billion in unrealized losses. According to data from Glassnode, approximately 36.8 billion XRP are currently in a loss state, accounting for over 60% of its total circulating supply, indicating that most investors have yet to break even.
From a cost structure perspective, the average holding cost of XRP is $1.44, and the current price has fallen below this critical psychological threshold, putting increasing pressure on long-term holders. Meanwhile, the year-to-date opening price of XRP against the US dollar was $1.87, and the current price is down 28% from that level, continuing a weak trend that saw a decline of 11.6% throughout 2025.
Technically, XRP/USD is currently facing key resistance around $1.40, while $1.30 is viewed as a support baseline. If this support is breached, the price may further test the $1.27 range. Recently, prices are retesting the bottom of this range, and market sentiment is becoming cautious.
Bulls currently see breaking through the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) as an important turning point, with this average currently located around $1.40. According to Glassnode's UTXO realized price distribution (URPD) analysis, a significant amount of XRP was purchased around the $1.28 price level, forming a potential support area. If the price can stabilize and break above $1.40, it may trigger a technical rebound.
Despite the short-term pressure on price movements, market focus remains on the performance of key price levels. If the $1.30 support holds, it may signal a short-term stabilization; conversely, if this level is breached, it could exacerbate market selling pressure and further widen the scale of unrealized losses.