Michael Novogratz and Anthony Scaramucci analyze Bitcoin's trajectory, believing that breaking through $80,000 will trigger a new round of gains, with individual investors as the main force. Saylor's long-term Bitcoin accumulation strengthens market confidence, and a weak dollar boosts demand for alternative assets.
Amidst global economic volatility and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, two heavyweight figures in the cryptocurrency space, Michael Novogratz and Anthony Scaramucci, have expressed positive views on Bitcoin's future trajectory. Novogratz pointed out that the recent surge in the Bitcoin market is primarily driven by ordinary individual investors, rather than traditional hedge funds. Many investors are choosing to indirectly hold Bitcoin through spot Bitcoin ETFs (such as IBIT) or MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, viewing it as a convenient "Bitcoin exposure" tool.
As the CEO of Galaxy Digital, Novogratz predicts that the price of Bitcoin will fluctuate between $60,000 and $80,000 in 2024. He believes that once the price breaks through the $80,000 mark, the market will enter a true price discovery phase, and buying activity may accelerate. He also highly praised MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor's aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy, saying that his continuous investment of all proceeds from stock liquidation into Bitcoin has formed a strong market confidence cycle, and bluntly stated: "I bet Saylor won't sell a single Bitcoin in the next three years."
Novogratz also emphasized that the "fatal scenarios" that pose a real threat to Bitcoin are almost impossible to occur, such as the activation of Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet or quantum computing cracking SHA-256 encryption. He firmly believes that the Bitcoin held by Satoshi Nakamoto has long been dormant, the relevant private keys are permanently lost, and it is difficult for the outside world to access them. In addition, he observed that the U.S. economy is showing a "K-shaped recovery": technology elites and high-net-worth individuals continue to benefit, while ordinary people face pressure, and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar is gradually weakening. These structural changes are driving more people to view Bitcoin as an alternative store of value.
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